Week 5 Predictions: Cal vs. Oregon

WHY THE DUCKS WILL WIN

@UODUCKGIRL

Because a 3rd middle of the night game in a row would be brutal and I want, nay, need that 5pm/8pm slot!

But seriously, I am hoping that the team learned from Arizona State and is going to use this as a measure of how to overcome adversity. Last year was a spiral so I hope this year we beat Cal and are able to move forward.

According to QuackMinute the sideline didn’t have the same excitement it had the 3 previous games and I think we could all a tell something was off from the get go – so hopefully they turn that around and have addressed the penalty situation. I think this team has what it takes to put the AZ state L in the past and refocus to get a nice win against the bears.

@GoDucksTroll

Because Willie and company will want to get rid of the awful taste of losing to Todd Graham. Cal’s offense isn’t as dynamic as it was under Sonny Dykes, and an energized Ducks team at home will triumph.

@BigShaun

Oregon bounces back from a rather disappointing loss last week and the team feels like they need to prove they are not the same team as last year. The team does not feel the first three weeks were an aberration and that they are, in fact, on the way “back”. Herbz doesn’t look so troubled and is back to the Herbz we have come to expect. Oregon cuts down on the penalties, the line opens some holes and Royce gets his 15o and 3 TDs.

@JaRomney

It’s Cal week, heck yeah. A matchup between Bob Marley posters, and 4 foot bongs. My favorite game of the year, it’s basically the dueling pointing Spider-Man meme. Other than Trump winning the election last November, Cal beating Oregon was the biggest upset of 2016. Eventually the law of averages catch up, so yeah, mathematically, Oregon has to win.

UC Berkeley’s pass defense is ranked in the 120’s, that’s not good. It’s Hokeian, to be honest. After a choppy performance in Tempe, expect UC Eugene and Justin Herbert to have a nice day through the air, opening up the run game in the second half for Royce and company.

@JonathanAdams

Because Cal’s quarterback, Ross Bowers, is a turnover machine. He’s thrown multiple interceptions in three separate games, including four last week vs. USC. He’s not very mobile and over the last two games his completion percentage is under 50%. Add in Cal’s uneven rushing attack, and there’s a lot to be optimistic about for Oregon’s defense

@patronusisotter

Oregon’s offense is still very good, despite the issues with penalties and negative plays.  The Ducks are still 7th in the FBS in total offense, and #1 in scoring offense. They’ve put up 29 touchdowns in 4 games and are scoring 50.8 PPG.  Royce Freeman is still averaging 5.5 yards per carry and already has 10 touchdowns on the year.  Justin Herbert has thrown for almost 1200 yards and thrown 9 touchdown versus just 2 picks.  Cal’s defense is giving up 24 points per game and the only really *good* team they’ve played has been USC, who they let score 30 in a game they probably should have won.  Cal is particularly vulnerable through the air, where they have been giving up 309 yards per game.  Ross Bowers is prone to throwing interceptions, which Oregon has shown itself to be fairly decent about snaring. I’d bet on this game getting Oregon back to their winning ways, but I just need to double check that @WildKingdumb isn’t making any vacation plans this weekend.

WHY THE DUCKS WILL LOSE

@UODUCKGIRL

If they keep being their own worst enemy with the avoidable penalties and can’t get the offense going. It’s weird to be worried about this Duck Offense but versus AZ D was definitely the brighter side of the team. Cal is also 3-1 and coming off their first Pac 12 loss versus USC. They could be trying to prove the same thing we are. Again, a game of who wants it more.

@GoDucksTroll

Once again, Pac12AfterDark. Also, maybe this Ducks team isn’t as good as we thought it would be. If they’re unable to get run game going against Justin Wilcox’s defense we could be in for another painful night. Cal has some nice wins under their belt, and they gave USC a game. If we come out flat like we did against Arizona State we won’t win.

@BigShaun

Because football and sports in general are cruel. And your favorite team is one based within the boundary that comprises the State of Oregon and we are jinxed here. Harry Glickman sold the State’s collective sports soul to the devil in 1977 and apparently there are no “take-backs” from Lucifer. Anybody who negotiates contracts knows you always want a claw back provision. Can someone point me to the termination section of the sales agreement?

@JaRomney

Penalties. Turnovers.

At this point, expect the penalties to come down like an avalanche. It just is what it is at this point. So fingers crossed there aren’t more fumbled punt returns. If Oregon plays smart, they win. If not, don’t sleep on Cal. While the Bears lack talent, they are well coached along the lines – hello Greatwood and Azz – and that’s a great equalizer.

@JonathanAdams

If the ASU game is the new normal and not an aberration, then Oregon’s offense will be sloppy and ineffective for long stretches. That lets the Bears hang around, even if their offense never really gets anything going. Cal beat North Carolina on the road despite trailing in the 4th quarter, and pitched a second half shutout vs. Ole Miss to overcome a nine-point halftime deficit. The exception here is USC, who scored 17 points in 3:09early in the 4th quarter to turn a 13-13 nail-biter into a comfortable 30-20 win at Cal. Oregon isn’t good enough (yet) to let double-digit underdogs hang around and still expect to win going away (or even win at all, as we saw last week).

@Patronusisotter

Oregon, well they may not be very good yet.  They gave up almost 500 yards of total offense to Arizona State, and 142 yards rushing to a team that was averaging 2.7 or so yards per carry coming into the game.  That number is.. well it’s concerning to say the least.  They were 1-11 on third down matching up with one of the worst third down defensive teams in the country.  They were penalized 14 times for 99 yards, and a couple (well most) of them on offense killed drives.  Cal is a better? team than Arizona State.  Cal is averaging 428 yards per game, which is less than Oregon’s 557 but still respectable. They allow less points than Oregon does per game as well.  The spread is 15 but the ASU spread was also 15 and we saw what happened there.  This game is at 7:30 in Autzen in prime Pac-12 After Dark territory.  All of these things are concerning, the main concern really though is if Dan is going on vacation this weekend though.  No? Oregon has a chance.

PREDICTIONS

@UODUCKGIRL

Ducks 35, Cal 24

@GoDucksTroll

Oregon wins, 42-28.

@BigShaun

Oregon 45, Cal 44

@JaRomney

UC Eugene Apathetic Liberals 44 – UC Berkeley Fighting Antifas 27.

@JonathanAdams

For gambling purposes, I love the Golden Bears (+15) and the under (68). Ducks win 34-27 thanks to a late Cal turnover

@patronusisotter

35-30 Oregon

I am not at all confident in Oregon’s ability to finish or take control of games at this point

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Week 4 Predictions: Oregon at Arizona State

Why Oregon Will Win:

 

@GoDucksTroll

This is a mismatch in Oregon’s favor, and on the surface it looks like it could be a slaughter. Arizona State’s defense has been torched on both the ground and through the air. They still blitz a ridiculous number of times, a feast or famine approach that at the moment looks like North Korea after a particularly bad harvest. They are 91st in rush defense, and 125th in pass defense. Oregon’s offense is top-20 in both. I expect the Oregon O-line to hold back the blitz and give Herbz time to find some receivers, while Royce repeatedly gashes them for 10+ yards. The Sun Devil defense appears to have closely studied Brady Hoke’s defense, and is reaping rewards like giving up 54 plays of over 10 yards… In three games.

@UODUCKGIRL

We got it going on both sides of the ball for the first time since the Aliotti days really. Im super impressed with the defense – tackling, the pressure, it all seems there. Thomas Graham Jr is clearly a breakout star and have every confidence he will continue to make huge plays. Offense will shine as well as they have the past 3 games. Editorial Comment: A win is a win and I don’t care the score so I am not concerned/worried about the 2nd half performances from Neb/Wyo.

@BigShaun

Oregon wins because ASU has the tenth ranked defense in the Pac-12 and Oregon has the number one offense putting up over 56 per game.

@JonathanAdams

Todd Graham is Arizona State’s head football coach.

@patronusisotter

Arizona State’s defense is somewhere between 2016 Oregon and abysmal.  This is not a good place to be if you’re facing an offensive team like Oregon. Currently Oregon has racking up 609.0 YPG with 23 TDs in 3 games. Oregon is averaging 7.28 yards per play also on 251 plays, which also means Oregon is averaging 83 plays per game. Inside the top 10 teams in the country in terms of total offense, the next highest team in terms of plays run is West Virginia with 239. All this is to say that Oregon’s offense is so good, and ASU’s defense, well it leaves a lot to be desired. They’re giving up 338 yards per game through the air and 167 yards per game on the ground, and 505 yards per game total.  They only average 412 yards per game of total offense, so you see the delimma here for Sun Devils.  Charles Nelson should be back and ready to go for this game, but even if he isn’t, Oregon should be alright.  Oregon will need to probably not disappear in the second half though in this one.

@JaRomney

Oregon doesn’t lose to Arizona State.

Willie “Bill Belichick” Taggart never loses as the Oregon coach. Ever.

Undefeated. Never lost.

The Sun Devils are just a mess, to be nice. Todd Graham once opined that the road to Pasadena ran through Tempe, now Tempe wants Todd Graham to hit the road. ASU is flirting with the “Pelluhoke Line” on defense. The Pelluhoke Line is when you average giving up a higher number of points than your walk on fullbacks jersey number. Bad defense, no real identity on offense, no chance for the Devils. Oregon is just a bad matchup for ASU’s defense. Coaches always say that they can’t give up “cheap plays” to UO on defensive lapses. Well, when you blitz on every play, as ASU does, you’re ripe for giving up cheap plays. Uh oh.

Why Oregon Could Lose:

 

@GoDucksTroll

It’s #Pac12AfterDark. Oregon has had Arizona State’s number to the tune of 10 straight wins, difficult to imagine that  streak ending this year. Unless the crazy magic of night games in the Pac-12 leads to the second half Oregon offense showing up for both halves.

@UODUCKGIRL

First Conference Game. First away conference game. Maybe the pressure for the younger team gets overwhelming?

Pac 12 after dark tends to get a little nutty. Charles Nelson is out so we lose a starter. Zona lost the last two games so maybe they are extra fired up. I think a lot of these games has to do with who really wants it and guts it out more. Penalties. Those damn Penalties. Also known to those of us who watched Wyo on CB Sports Net as  “green on green crime”.

@BigShaun

The honeymoon has to end sometime. Nothing can usher in a weird loss like Pac-12 after dark. As we all know, things get weird after 10pm out west.

@JonathanAdams

I guess there’s a chance Todd Graham gets fired between now and Saturday night.

@patronusisotter

Maybe the entire first team defense gets lost on their way to the stadium?  Oregon is still giving up buckets of yards on defense, 303 per game to be exact, so that is a bit of a worry.  They’ve been decent at defending the pass, but Manny Wilkins is going to be a whole new beast compared to what they’ve been facing, he’s averaging 308 yards per game and has passed for 7 touchdowns.  Oregon’s defense has the tools to handle Arizona State’s best players but it remains to be seen if they will execute against better opponents, for all we know at this point they could fold like a house of cards.  Arizona State’s best defense player Koron Crump is out for this game, but that also means Oregon doesn’t know what changes Todd Graham will make to remedy the loss in his linebacker corps.

@JaRomney

An early injury to Yung Herbz. Aside from something that disastrous, it would take an unfocused Oregon team to lose on Saturday. A sneaky ASU strategy would be just to punt every play, eventually a Duck returner will put the ball on the grass. Profit.

 

The Picks:

 

@GoDucksTroll

Oregon wins, 59-31.

@UODUCKGIRL

I know this:

Oregon Wins

Oregon has 42 at the half

@BigShaun

55-35 Oregon

@JonathanAdams

Oregon 38 ASU 31

@patronusisotter

49-14.  Oregon rolls.

@JaRomney

Oregon wins 51-24.

Week 3 Predictions: Wyoming vs. Oregon

Why Oregon Will Win

@GoDucksTroll

Because we have no business losing to a Mountain West team. Our speed will just be too much for them, and the running game will soften it up for Herbz to do his thing. Herbz’s thing is tearing up defenses.

@DMDoubleG

Am I really going to say…the…defense?  Y’all, we had FOUR forced turnovers against Nebraska. Multiple from freshman. That is a very, very good thing. This defense looks like a group of individuals that is really starting to emerge as a total unit. I’m going to project optimistically and say by the end of this season (and especially one or two seasons down the line), this defense could have the nastiness of the squads of 2010, ’11, and ’12. Or I could be wrong, and they might look like a team made up mostly of first and second year players. Who knows?

@UODUCKGIRL

From what I saw LIVE last week at Autzen this team has it going on. I think our D is so vastly improved that we can hopefully stop this allegedly super-duper amazing quarterback I keep hearing about. Seems like he is their only weapon and we are stacked. On Offense we have Herbert, Freeman, Benoit and a host of other playmakers and on D we have Thomas Graham Jr who is probably going to intercept this supposedly super-duper amazing quarterback that shall remain nameless.. And don’t forget the amazing Charles Nelson!

@patronusisotter
Wyoming is small potatoes.  They lost to an Iowa team that probably isn’t that good, and that threw the ball 15 times against them for 125 yards.  They’ll face a much more stout passing attack versus this Oregon team who is averaging 360 yards through the air per game. Wyoming also doesn’t run the ball very well, averaging about 62 YPG.  They’re scoring about 15 PPG.  That’s not enough to beat Oregon no matter what kind of defense you play. Oregon is averaging 634 yards of total offense and only giving up 363.  Seems like a lot still, but it’s been getting the job done.  Look for Justin Herbert to have a field day against this Wyoming secondary.

@JonathanAdams

Oregon is multi-dimensional on offense and Wyoming is not. The Cowboys have rushed for just 124 yards total over two games, and one of those was at home vs. FCS bottom-feeder Gardner-Webb. They start two true freshmen on the o-line, and their best option at running back might be a guy who was converted from linebacker last week. QB Josh Allen is a big-time NFL prospect, but he struggled at Iowa in week one as the Hawkeyes took advantage of Wyoming’s futility on the ground. Look for Oregon to try to do the same on Saturday night.
Defensively, Wyoming looks solid. They haven’t allowed 300+ total yards to either of their opponents. However, they have only faced 22(!) pass attempts this season, so their secondary isn’t exactly battle-tested.

@Jaromney

At this point I’m wondering if Willie “Bear Bryant” Taggart will ever lose a game at Oregon?

*extreme Lavar Ball voice*

Undefeated. Never lost.

Wyoming can’t run the ball this year, like at all. If only for a week, Oregon looked spry against the run vs Nebraska. If the Cowboys want to win this game, they’ll have to keep Yung Herbz and his band of marauders off the field, so the run game is key. NFL scouts see Josh Allen and see future NFL franchise QB. I see Josh Allen and see Jake Locker.

Jake Locker never beat Oregon, nor will Josh Allen.

@BigShaun

This is pretty simple: Oregon is just better in all around talent. Herbz and Royce are premiere level talent and are on a roll and I can’t see Wyoming stopping the offensive train. There will be a ton of Swag Surfin’ on Saturday.

 

Why Oregon Could Lose:

@GoDucksTroll

Our defense comes back to Hokeian form and Wyoming’s NFL prospect QB burns us for some big plays. Fumbles come back to haunt us and we have a complete meltdown. Wyoming is tough up the middle of the defense and we stall out, allowing them to gain momentum. It’s unlikely, but we can’t forget how young this Ducks team is.

@DMDoubleG

It all comes down to the big question: is Wyoming dark horse star QB Josh Allen more Carson Wentz or Brock Osweiler? Is his defining feature that he’s NBA tall or can he actually ball with the big boys? Over 20 NFL scouts are betting on the latter. SUU and Nebraska did not feature legitimate stars at QB — is our defense ready for that? The smart money says no.

@UODUCKGIRL

So the 2nd half of the Neb game was weird so if that kind of stalling happens again and they have QB Voldermort I don’t know – I guess it could go horribly wrong. Otherwise, I really don’t see us losing this one.

@patronusisotter

Oregon takes this game lightly, is playing at elevation, and forgets that Josh Allen is a first round NFL draft pick (more than likely.)  Wyoming’s defense is good, or at least has looked stout, but the competition hasn’t really been the type of world beaters that you would want to compare Oregon against.  Oregon’s first away game of the year will teach all of us a lot about this team and what they’re made of. Austin Conway is Josh Allen’s favorite target, so someone will need to watch him both receiving and on special teams where he returns punts. Wyoming has won eight straight regular season games at home.  That’s nothing to shake a stick at, Oregon needs to be prepared.

@JonathanAdams

Josh Allen has a coming out party and is the best player on the field. Wyoming’s salty defense forces turnovers and contains Oregon’s rushing attack. The Ducks are more second-half-of-the-Nebraska-game than first, and the Cowboys hang around and hang around, then steal it late.

@Jaromney

Is saying a plane crash over Yellowstone too morbid? Yeah? Okay, never mind, redact that. The only way I see Oregon losing is if they just kick the ball around all day, and lose the turnover battle by 4+.

@BigShaun

The altitude could be a factor. Playing at over 7200’ above sea level is different than playing at 500’. Look for the boys to suck some wind. The other reason is that the secondary is still widely inexperienced and the ‘Pokes have a quality QB who can make all of the throws.

The Pick:

@GoDucksTroll

Oregon wins, 55-21

@DMDoubleG

Oregon wins, 45-24

@UODUCKGIRL

Ducks 49 – Wyoming 45 – I don’t think it’s gonna be a blow out but I think we pull off the W.

@patronusisotter

48-20, Oregon puts this game away early.

@JonathanAdams

Oregon 37-23

@Jaromney

Oregon wins 51-24. Ennis Del Mar and Jack Twist have a long ride home.
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@BigShaun

55-21 Oregon

 

 

 

#GoDucks

Week 2 Predictions: Nebraska vs Oregon

Saturday, September 9th // Eugene, OR // 1:30pm PST

 

WHY THE DUCKS WILL WIN

@UODuckGirl
This team is special. We have the talent and the #tagswag and I think coming off a record breaking win is strong momentum. Plus we are at home and I think it will be a sold out crowd. I think TBJ makes less errors and Herbert/Royce keep up the run game. Plus I will be there live so that’s a great indication that we will win.

 

@GoDucksTroll
Our defense has improved enough to not be embarrassed by consistently getting burned on 3rd downs, and Nebraska won’t manage more than 150 yards rushing. The offense pounds away with the three headed monster of Royce, Kani and TBJ. This sets up Justin Herbert to have time and pick apart a Nebraska secondary that struggled in their season opener. Our strength (offense) matches up well with their weakness.

 

@JonathanAdams
Royce Freeman is the best player on the field. Arkansas State threw the ball 68 times last week vs. Nebraska and only ran it 21 times, so I have no idea if the Cornhuskers are actually good against the run. But some dude named Warren Wand who’s 5’5″ and weighs less than 180 lbs averaged nearly 6 yards per attempt on 12 carries for A-State, so I think that bodes well for Oregon’s rushing attack. Plus, a really lousy Oregon team went to Lincoln and should have won last season. The Ducks are (probably (dear god, hopefully)) better this year while the Cornhuskers might be worse — it would be weird if Arkansas State’s offense is better on the road than Oregon’s offense is at home and the Red Wolves put up 36 points and nearly 400+ passing yards in Lincoln.

 

@SwooshMcDuck 
Momentum…and a *fire emoji* offense. Nebraska looked bad, like really bad, struggling to beat Arkansas State last week. If not for a few key plays like an interception or kick return for TD, we’re facing an 0-1 Nebraska team this week. Nebraska allowed 415 yards passing last week (I mean ArSt passed 68 freaking times), but even with Oregon’s somewhat pedestrian receiver crew they should have no problem scoring on this secondary. Add in a run game that looks like it could be a formidable comparison to the LMJ/KB backfield of yesteryear, we should easily be able to score on the ground as well. If Oregon’s secondary can slow down the Husker’s offense slightly, Oregon can win this in a dramatic shootout.

 

@NoNattyForYou
I’ll keep this simple: Nebraska’s defense is trash. On the other side, Pagano could be back, which will help slow down Bryant. Finally, although the smoke has cleared some, coming into Autzen for the first time under the current conditions is no easy task.

 

@BigShaun 
Nebraska’s defense looks like Oregon’s last year and Oregon’s offense looks like 2014 again. Oregon should be able to score lots of points. Herbz should have about 400 yards passing against a Nebraska secondary that last week couldn’t stop a thing.

 

@DMDoubleG
Last week was nothing if not encouraging. QB Justin Herbert, RB Royce Freeman (et. al.), and the rest of the offense all lived up to expectations. Nick Allioti must have loved watching the other side of the ball — classic bend-don’t-break Oregon defense. We had some sloppy moments, but when they settled down, the defense showed improvement and flashes of something that could be pretty special.

 

@JARomney
The powers of the Swag Surf are immeasurable. The sheer mention of surfing is sure to make any Nebraskan scared, as they’re a dumb land-locked state (I mean, what’s the deal with that?). Provided the gritty, gutty, Huskers can get over this insurmountable head game, they’ll run into the Oregon offense – and after giving up 497 yards of offense to Arkansas State, that’s tricky. Yung Herbz built of stone from the mighty Willamette, known to throw footballs over Skinners Butte by the age of 4, is looking at the Nebraska secondary the way Beyoncé lustily stares in LeBron’s eyes court side. Royce “15-to-20” Freeman hasn’t forgotten the injury in Lincoln last year, and will look to run through the Corn Husker defense with the same ferocity that Mike Riley ran away from the challenge of coaching at Oregon State. The Ducks ran for 300+ last year vs Nebraska, and should have won the game, I don’t see much changing. Oregon has better athletes on offense than Nebraska does on defense.

 

 

 

WHY THE DUCKS COULD LOSE

@UODuckGirl
They big. Might be hard to stop given the newness of our defense. D is going to really have to step it up. No Missing Tackles! #NMT

And we better not lose since I am going to be there.

 

@GoDucksTroll
Turnovers and a shaky defense deflates the team’s confidence. Herbert throws a few picks and we lose a fumble. Meanwhile, Nebraska gashes us with 15 yard runs and sets up some nice passing opportunities for Tanner Lee. The swag disappears and we are brought back down to Earth.

 

@JonathanAdams
Oregon’s defense is almost definitely still bad. And the only thing I learned about the offense last week is that they would definitely do well in the Big Sky. No idea what happens when they actually face some adversity this week. Going down to the wire vs. a Sun Belt team at home isn’t ideal, but at least Nebraska had to go and win a game. Oregon-Southern Utah was a glorified scrimmage after the first quarter. We won’t know if the Ducks can take a punch until they actually get smacked in the face.

 

@SwooshMcDuck 
Defense or lack thereof. It will come down to a matter of stops. Nebraska runs a balanced offense of run & pass. They aren’t flashy, but they do what they do reasonably well. Oregon’s secondary remains a huge question mark, probably the biggest on the entire team. Sloppy play, missed assignments, & missed tackles will spell Oregon’s downfall. This game feels closer than it should given how we aren’t sure week to week which Oregon defense we might get. If the team comes off last week’s high & overlooks a struggling but hungry Cornhusker squad, we get the first L of the Taggart Era.

 

@NoNattyForYou
Bryant is a stud at running back, and despite the improved organization of Oregon’s defense they still have a ways to go. Defensively, the second game after moving to a 3-4 will be better for Nebraska, and the athletes on defense could match up well with Oregon’s play-makers.

 

@BigShaun 
Oregon’s defense regresses against a P5 opponent and the ghost of 3rd and Pellum haunts one more time. You’ve seen me say, ad nauseum, that Oregon will go as far as the defense allows and this week is another test that will show us what we’re working with.

 

@DMDoubleG
Nebraska fans. This is going to sound weak, but hear me out. Nebraska fans have been arriving in town since MONDAY. Old-money fan bases don’t mess around, and Nebraska is no exception. They bought hundreds of OREGON SEASON TICKETS just so they could come to this one game. That’s nuts. I think people are really underestimating just how jarring it could be to have your home field sound like a neutral site. It could really throw people off.

 

@JARomney
Have you been introduced to the Oregon defense yet? Oregon played two true freshmen at nose guard last week, and they accounted for nothing on the official stat sheet. Zero. Just jump on a pile and get half a tackle or something, sheesh… Everyone says Tanner Lee is a potential first round NFL pick at the quarterback position, and that alone gives Nebraska a chance. If the transfer from mighty Tulane can pick apart the UO secondary, Ducks are in trouble. Nebraska will run on the Oregon defense, so unless they force 2+ turnovers and hit Lee in the backfield a few times, the Huskers will light up the scoreboard.

 

 

THE PICKS

@UODuckGirl
35-28. Ducks

@GoDucksTroll
Oregon wins, 49-28.

@JonathanAdams
Hey, can we change the name of this section? It’s just not memorable enough.

Anyway, if you’re betting take Nebraska and the 14 points. That’s free money. I like the Huskers to be slightly better on defense and boringly effective on offense. Big Red wins 31-27.

@SwooshMcDuck 
I put my faith in the Power of Pepsi & Coach Leavitt’s defense surprises us all by making stops in critical situations. Oregon 44 Nebraska 32 #WeNatty #BuckleUp

@NoNattyForYou
45-35, Oregon.

@BigShaun
I’ve been optimistic on the win total for a while and I’m sticking with it. Oregon wins big, 55-21.

@DMDoubleG
42-35, Oregon.

@JARomney
Oregon 44-Nebraska 31
A see saw game turns into a comfortable Oregon win late.

 

#GoDucks

 

 

Week 1 Predictions: Southern Utah vs Oregon

Saturday, September 2nd // Eugene, OR // 5:15pm PST

WHY THE DUCKS WILL WIN

@SwooshMcDuck
TALENT. Oregon is by far the more talented team here & it’s not even close. Justin Herbert comes out & picks apart a defense that gave up an average of 300 yards per game in the air last season. The ground game is a bit slower, only accounting for 2 TD’s but it’s more than enough to pull far ahead & stay there.

@NoNattyForYou
They’re a bad FCS program, with a terrible defense and average offense. Just the type of team you want to play in week 1.

@UODuckGirl
GO, FIGHT, WIN DUCKS WIN! We will win because this team is FIRED UP and ready to prove that the ducks are back in a big way.

@BigShaun
Despite the down year for talent (thanks, Helf), Oregon is still far superior to SU. The offense should put up some decent numbers this year. Royce should have about 800 yards on the ground and Herbz will pick them apart.

@GoDucksTroll
Because Oregon, unlike some other NW schools, has never lost to an FCS team. The huge talent gap and the excitement of the Taggart Era leads to an on-field demolition. Southern Utah gets overwhelmed by our physical o-line and the battering rams and rockets that we call our running backs. The maligned Duck defense uses that chip on their shoulder to create 4 turnovers and sets up the rout.

@WildKingdumb
The talent level on the field for Oregon should not just win but dominate Southern Utah.

@JARomney
Because Southern Utah playing at sea level will be a major factor as the game goes on. The air will be too dense, and once the lungs go, the legs go.

@DMDoubleG
We like to be timely and use only the most relevant analogies here at MOQ, so I’m going to liken this game to the Floyd Mayweather/Conor McGregor fight. Does Southern Utah University have a chance? Of course. They are playing in the game. There is, mathematically speaking, a non-zero chance that they could win.

They could beat us, I don’t know, 58-27?

But let’s be real — they won’t. So what if we’re 2 years removed from greatness?That doesn’t erase all the things we did before. Two years ago we were fighting for the belt. We may have gotten knocked out, but we’re not down for the count. We’ve still got plenty of juice left in the tank — we’ve just been waiting to get that second wind.

We went back to our corner between rounds and found a new corner-man; one with an enthusiasm unknown to mankind. We took a swig of Gatorade, dug deep within ourselves, and found an all-time runningback, an up-and-coming quarterback, a whole heap of O-line studs, and a human missile for a linebacker. In other words: we had the winning ingredients within us all along. We just needed to put it all together.

And come Saturday, we will. Unlike last Saturday, this one won’t go 10 rounds.

@JonathanAdams
The 2016 Oregon football team was a barrel full of poopy diapers and old fish parts slowly cooking over a fire made of plastic tubs full of hair and they still won their home opener by 25 over a Big Sky opponent. And since we all agreed that 2016 was rock bottom, the Ducks aren’t losing to any 1-AA teams in 2017.

 

 

WHY THE DUCKS COULD LOSE

@SwooshMcDuck
Well, quite simply, we’re still broken. We find that all Willie’s horses & all Willie’s men couldn’t put Oregon together again…yet. The defense remains soft & incapable of stopping anything in the air or on the ground. Oregon is unable to get 3 & Outs & leaves SUU in the game for far too long.

@NoNattyForYou
We can’t (or shouldn’t). If Oregon loses this game, Taggart and company should be fired at midfield after the handshake.

@UODuckGirl
We won’t lose. I just don’t see it happening.

@BigShaun
Oregon could lose because it’s the first game for a new staff still trying to figure out what they have here with this team and the players are still reeling from a horrible season and a wicked case of Rhabdo.

@GoDucksTroll
Justin Herbert gets injured and the team can’t get anything going. Southern Utah gains confidence, quiets the crowd and breaks of some long plays. Our young defense blows assignments. Unlucky fumbles give Southern Utah great field position and they capitalize.

@WildKingdumb
Injuries and turnovers. Like a lot of them, like even The Duck gets hurt.

@JARomney
Matt LoVecchio and Gerry DiNardo walk through the door? Aside from that, the only plausible scenario I see is George Soros and Brady Hoke busing in paid actors to play Oregon football players.

@DMDoubleG
Under Chip Kelly and Mark Helfrich, Oregon had a bad habit of letting bad teams do bad things to us. Here are the points scored by non-Power 5 teams against us in the Helfrich/Kelly era in reverse-chronological order: 28, 42, 28, 13, 14, 3, 34, 25, 14, 20, 7, 0, 13, 0.

With exception to the 2010 Natty team and their two shutouts, including opening the season with a 72-0 win over UNM, that is a somewhat underwhelming record. Those should almost all be 14 or less. Pair a bad habit for allowing too many points with a bad defense and an entirely new coaching staff, and the growing pains of a new staff might be that much more painful.

SUU has a defensive lineman in Robert Torgerson getting legitimate NFL looks next to three other seniors on the line, so they aren’t pushovers. In fact, that D-Line had 8 tackles for loss and 2 sacks last year against a Utah O-line that sent 4 guys to the NFL.

Oh, and one of those guys is 32 years old and 360 pounds. No, seriously.

@JonathanAdams
I have a theory about Oregon State fans (I promise this is relevant). I think that many of them have resigned themselves to mediocrity and now their fondest wish is to drag Oregon down to their level, make the Civil War a ridiculous “championship” game and spend December and January focused solely on sheep-related activities. So, in a world where the football gods gave Duck fans the magic and beauty of the 2014 Rose Bowl, then I suppose those same gods could throw OSU a bone and take college football in this state back to the 1970s and early ‘80s. And that would most definitely mean Oregon losing at home to a middle-of-the-road FCS school with a stadium seven times smaller than Autzen.

 

 

THE PICKS

@SwooshMcDuck
44-20. Oregon

@NoNattyForYou
55-17. Oregon

@UODuckGirl
Ducks 42 – S.Utah – way less than that.

@BigShaun
55-14. Oregon

@GoDucksTroll
69-10. Oregon

@WildKingdumb
45-21. Oregon

@JARomney
51-17. Oregon. That’s about all the brain cells that need to be wasted on this kind of match-up. Enjoy the 100 degree heat, and stifling smoke on Saturday at Autzen!

@DMDoubleG
45-21. Oregon

@JonathanAdams
44-27. Oregon

 

 

#GoDucks

2017 Oregon Duck Season Forecast

2017 Oregon Ducks Season Schedule

9/2 – Southern Utah Thunderbirds – 5:15pm PT
9/9 – Nebraska Cornhuskers – 1:30pm PT
9/16 – at Wyoming Cowboys – 4:00pm PT
9/23 – at Arizona State Sun Devils – TIME TBA
9/30 – California Golden Bears – TIME TBA
10/7 – Washington State Cougars – TIME TBA
10/14 – at Stanford Cardinal – TIME TBA
10/21 – at UCLA Bruins – TIME TBA
10/28 – Utah Utes – TIME TBA
11/4 – at Washington Huskies, – TIME TBA
11/11 – OFF
11/18 – Arizona Wildcats, – TIME TBA
11/25 – Oregon State Beavers – TIME TBA
*12/1 – Pac-12 Championship Game, Santa Clara, CA – TIME TBA

 

SEASON OUTLOOK

@SwooshMcDuck
Ladies & Gentlemen, Boys & Girls, Puddles lovers of all ages, welcome back for another exciting season of Oregon Football. First let me thank you for returning to read my columns, I know it’s me that brings you back week after week & none of these other scrubs. Let’s begin, shall we?

After what can only be described as an abomination of a football season in 2016, the 2017 season begins with things anew in Eugene. Helf & Co. are gone. In are Willie T & Co. When it comes to an outlook on the season, it’s hard not to express at least some slight optimism that the team has grown & learned from last season, that the staff will prepare them better, & that we aren’t doomed to another season in the cellar. Willie T & Co. will be tested with a slate that isn’t all that easy this season. Road games at UW, Stanford & even Wyoming are going to be tricky. Wazzu at Autzen is no cake walk anymore. And if 2016’s porous defense returns, Ryan Nall & OSU will score again…and again…and again. The Ducks remain stacked at RB, & QB Justin Herbert returns for a sophomore season poised to become a breakout QB in a conference full of them. The question is: Can they put it all together or is it still hopelessly broken?

 

@NoNattyForYou
I will preface this that I have no idea how this season will go down. Generally, from January to July I am really pessimistic, thinking that Oregon sucks and we’re going to lose every game. Come August, I have somehow made my expectations way too high. I convince myself that Oregon will go undefeated, with position players winning every award imaginable.

This year is different. Every aspect of this team is questionable. Is this coaching staff equipped to navigate the grind of the deepest conference in the country (suck it, SEC honks)? Do the players actually give a shit this year, or will the first loss turn everyone in Pharaoh Brown clones? Is the offense going to keep clicking like it has since Chip’s arrival, or will the Gulf Coast offense be a spectacular failure (Taggart’s offense was brutal his first 2 years at USF)? Is the defense going to be a dumpster fire like it was last year, or will Leavitt be able to shave off 10ppg? What in the hell will the special teams look like?

I don’t feel confident in my answers to any of those questions, but you can take my prediction to the bank anyways.

I like this staff if I’m looking at a long-term trajectory. This year there will be ups and downs, but I expect Taggart will right the ship midseason. Personnel wise, the team is “awfully young.” It will take Taggart time to get his players in the program and for Helfrich’s leftovers to truly buy-in, which obviously won’t happen this season. I think the players care right now, but I do expect some to quit after a loss or two. The offense is going to be up and down, tearing apart the terrible defenses and struggling against the elite ones. The defense will be similar, but I do expect a moderate improvement. Special teams are probably the area I am most confident in my prediction, and I expect them to be average.

So how do I see this season shaking out? Staying true to the degenerate gambler that I am, I like to hedge. Oregon fans going into the season with moderate expectations will be happy, the ones who think we’re winning 10 games will be disappointed.  I think we’ll be 3rd or 4th in the North. Overall it will be something to build on, but nothing spectacular. We’ll win some games we aren’t expecting and probably lose at least one game that is inexcusable. There will be a lot of promising pieces to build on going into 2018 and the hype before next year will be similar to what USC experiences every year.

 

@UODuckGirl
The post Mariota hangover is officially gone. We needed last season to happen. As brutal as it was we were still trying to figure out post Mariota world by applying band-aids (Dakota) and it wasn’t working. Team was fractured. Now, you can just tell that something is different. New regime, fresh start. We will 100% make a decent bowl game. I think we make the Pac 12 playoff game as well.

 

@BigShaun
I’m cautiously optimistic for the season.

There’s a weird thing in sports and football in particular where when things go bad, they can spiral so far out of control that a team looks and plays much worse than they actually are. The transverse can also be true. When a big change happens that, for the players, feels like the :cough Helf: demons have been exorcised and players start believing in themselves and their teammates again, teams can outperform everybody’s expectations. So with that said, #WeNatty baby!! You want proof? Winged helmets are back! They go with 11 and 12 win seasons like peas and friggin carrots! We all know this, dems the rules. I don’t make the rules.

In all seriousness, I don’t know what to expect. And that’s just fine. But I’m excited as heck about Oregon Football again. Last year left a used baby diaper taste in all of our mouths. I, admittedly, wasn’t excited about the Taggart hire immediately. I had never really heard about him and the only thing I had to go on was his record from WKU and USF, which overall was not super impressive – not realizing the challenges he faced rebuilding those programs. I got caught up on wanting to row a boat somewhere. I didn’t care if there was an iceberg in the path. I just needed a life-preserver for my team. But the more I learned and saw of Taggs, and saw the energy he and the (so far) A+ staff he has brought in, the more I have bought in. And by social media comments you get the idea that the team has bought in. The past players are getting on board. There’s a momentum building that is exciting.

At the end of the day, Oregon will be as good as the defense allows them to be. I think Leavitt and crew coaching on the defensive side of the ball are more than capable to turn the defense around. I’m hoping we see a jump into the 70s or 80s in terms of defensive rank this year. That will be a significant improvement over last year, leaping some 40-50 spots.

If I have to place a number of wins on the team this year, I’m going out on a limb and will say a regular season record of 9-3 and Oregon is in the Holiday bowl and we’re all knocking on our friend’s door who lives in Del Mar looking for a crash pad in December (move over, Abby). But I’m not going to be disappointed if the team goes 5-7 either. It’s a rebuilding year and there are some holes to fill in several key positions.

 

@GoDucksTroll
A lot of rushing yards. The seventh ranked defense in the Pac-12.

 

@WildKingdumb
I have faith that the defense will at some point this season hold an opponent under 20 points.  This roster is talented and maybe more importantly motivated.  Not just for person gains, but motivated to fight *for* their teammates and the coaching staff.  Look, I wouldn’t be shocked if this team won only 4 games or as many as 9 games, but I know the defense won’t be as bad as last season, and the offense might just have a very special year.

 

@JonathanAdams
Let me preface this by saying that I’m generally positive about the Willie Taggart era at Oregon. He seems to be a terrific recruiter (although a lot can change between now and signing day), and he changed the fortunes of both Western Kentucky and South Florida before arriving in Eugene. But I do not get the general positivity about the 2017 season.

Jim Leavitt will improve the defense — they’ll jump 50 spots in the rankings and still be terrible. Graduate transfer Scott Pagano seemed to be poised to help on the defensive line, but he’s still recovering from foot surgery. The Ducks are starting linebackers who weigh less than 200 pounds, and the secondary is a delightful mix of veterans who weren’t that good last season and dudes who were at prom three months ago.

I suppose the offense will be fine, as long as no one gets hurt. Darren Carrington’s stupidity means Charles Nelson is by far the most experienced returning receiver, but he’s also returning punts and kickoffs, and if that doesn’t terrify you maybe Google Walter Thurmond and Devon Allen. And let’s not even think about what happens if Justin Herbert gets hurt.

Oregon’s bowl game hopes hinge, I think, almost entirely on the five games in September. They’re all eminently winnable, but a 2-3 start is just as likely to me as a 5-0 run. The games in October and early November are going to be brutal (a five game losing streak is definitely in play) so they need a fast start if they want to be playing in December.

 

@JARomney
The season is over.

Not that anyone with an ounce of honesty in their blood didn’t already know that. When you’re forced to start two LB’ers listed at 195 pounds, and rely on two true freshman on the defensive line, there is no way to objectively be good. Does Scott Pagano fully recover from spring surgery? Does the new fangled JC transfer, Malik Young, adjust to the Pac 12 level after arriving in Eugene 47 seconds ago? Hopefully? Because if so, the Oregon defense could go from a 1989 Eagle Premier, to a 1995 Dodge Neon! Hooray! Still bad, but bad is better than historically bad. That’s it, that’s where the season pivots from bad to “bad team in a bowl” bad. Justin Herbert will be good, Royce Freeman will regain his form from his first two years, and the suddenly experienced offensive line will be talking point next year that annoys people from outside the UO fan bubble. But scoring 45 points a game isn’t as dandy when you allow 50.

Oregon will finish 7-5, because the Arizona schools are abject trash inching towards coaching changes, Cal is Cal, and Oregon State will have quit on the season after a five game losing streak in the middle of the season by the time they come to Autzen. Oh, have I mentioned that Jim Mora Jr and Mike Riley are also on the schedule? 7-5 by default, practically.

 

 

FINAL SEASON RECORD PREDICTION

@SwooshMcDuck
7-6. Oregon sneaks into a bowl game by stealing a couple of toss-up games along the way. It’s not what we’ve come to expect, but it’s better than where we were. #GoDucks.

@NoNattyForYou
8-4 (6-3)

@UODuckGirl
10-2

@BigShaun
9-3 and Oregon is in the Holiday Bowl

@GoDucksTroll
9-3, with a Holiday Bowl berth

@WildKingdumb
7-5, with losses against NEB, WSU, FURD and UW with a random clunker thrown in… At least that’s how I feel right now. (Update: I am reading this again and I’m dumb cause now I think we are winning 9 games MINIMUM.  YEAH YOU HEARD ME.)

@JonathanAdams
5-7.  Put me down for a slower-than-hoped-for start, a rough middle, and a 5-and-7 final record.

@JARomney
7-5

 

#GoDucks