Saturday, September 2nd // Eugene, OR // 5:15pm PST
WHY THE DUCKS WILL WIN
TALENT. Oregon is by far the more talented team here & it’s not even close. Justin Herbert comes out & picks apart a defense that gave up an average of 300 yards per game in the air last season. The ground game is a bit slower, only accounting for 2 TD’s but it’s more than enough to pull far ahead & stay there.
They’re a bad FCS program, with a terrible defense and average offense. Just the type of team you want to play in week 1.
GO, FIGHT, WIN DUCKS WIN! We will win because this team is FIRED UP and ready to prove that the ducks are back in a big way.
Despite the down year for talent (thanks, Helf), Oregon is still far superior to SU. The offense should put up some decent numbers this year. Royce should have about 800 yards on the ground and Herbz will pick them apart.
Because Oregon, unlike some other NW schools, has never lost to an FCS team. The huge talent gap and the excitement of the Taggart Era leads to an on-field demolition. Southern Utah gets overwhelmed by our physical o-line and the battering rams and rockets that we call our running backs. The maligned Duck defense uses that chip on their shoulder to create 4 turnovers and sets up the rout.
The talent level on the field for Oregon should not just win but dominate Southern Utah.
Because Southern Utah playing at sea level will be a major factor as the game goes on. The air will be too dense, and once the lungs go, the legs go.
We like to be timely and use only the most relevant analogies here at MOQ, so I’m going to liken this game to the Floyd Mayweather/Conor McGregor fight. Does Southern Utah University have a chance? Of course. They are playing in the game. There is, mathematically speaking, a non-zero chance that they could win.
They could beat us, I don’t know, 58-27?
But let’s be real — they won’t. So what if we’re 2 years removed from greatness?That doesn’t erase all the things we did before. Two years ago we were fighting for the belt. We may have gotten knocked out, but we’re not down for the count. We’ve still got plenty of juice left in the tank — we’ve just been waiting to get that second wind.
We went back to our corner between rounds and found a new corner-man; one with an enthusiasm unknown to mankind. We took a swig of Gatorade, dug deep within ourselves, and found an all-time runningback, an up-and-coming quarterback, a whole heap of O-line studs, and a human missile for a linebacker. In other words: we had the winning ingredients within us all along. We just needed to put it all together.
And come Saturday, we will. Unlike last Saturday, this one won’t go 10 rounds.
The 2016 Oregon football team was a barrel full of poopy diapers and old fish parts slowly cooking over a fire made of plastic tubs full of hair and they still won their home opener by 25 over a Big Sky opponent. And since we all agreed that 2016 was rock bottom, the Ducks aren’t losing to any 1-AA teams in 2017.
WHY THE DUCKS COULD LOSE
Well, quite simply, we’re still broken. We find that all Willie’s horses & all Willie’s men couldn’t put Oregon together again…yet. The defense remains soft & incapable of stopping anything in the air or on the ground. Oregon is unable to get 3 & Outs & leaves SUU in the game for far too long.
We can’t (or shouldn’t). If Oregon loses this game, Taggart and company should be fired at midfield after the handshake.
We won’t lose. I just don’t see it happening.
Oregon could lose because it’s the first game for a new staff still trying to figure out what they have here with this team and the players are still reeling from a horrible season and a wicked case of Rhabdo.
Justin Herbert gets injured and the team can’t get anything going. Southern Utah gains confidence, quiets the crowd and breaks of some long plays. Our young defense blows assignments. Unlucky fumbles give Southern Utah great field position and they capitalize.
Injuries and turnovers. Like a lot of them, like even The Duck gets hurt.
Matt LoVecchio and Gerry DiNardo walk through the door? Aside from that, the only plausible scenario I see is George Soros and Brady Hoke busing in paid actors to play Oregon football players.
Under Chip Kelly and Mark Helfrich, Oregon had a bad habit of letting bad teams do bad things to us. Here are the points scored by non-Power 5 teams against us in the Helfrich/Kelly era in reverse-chronological order: 28, 42, 28, 13, 14, 3, 34, 25, 14, 20, 7, 0, 13, 0.
With exception to the 2010 Natty team and their two shutouts, including opening the season with a 72-0 win over UNM, that is a somewhat underwhelming record. Those should almost all be 14 or less. Pair a bad habit for allowing too many points with a bad defense and an entirely new coaching staff, and the growing pains of a new staff might be that much more painful.
SUU has a defensive lineman in Robert Torgerson getting legitimate NFL looks next to three other seniors on the line, so they aren’t pushovers. In fact, that D-Line had 8 tackles for loss and 2 sacks last year against a Utah O-line that sent 4 guys to the NFL.
Oh, and one of those guys is 32 years old and 360 pounds. No, seriously.
I have a theory about Oregon State fans (I promise this is relevant). I think that many of them have resigned themselves to mediocrity and now their fondest wish is to drag Oregon down to their level, make the Civil War a ridiculous “championship” game and spend December and January focused solely on sheep-related activities. So, in a world where the football gods gave Duck fans the magic and beauty of the 2014 Rose Bowl, then I suppose those same gods could throw OSU a bone and take college football in this state back to the 1970s and early ‘80s. And that would most definitely mean Oregon losing at home to a middle-of-the-road FCS school with a stadium seven times smaller than Autzen.
Ducks 42 – S.Utah – way less than that.
51-17. Oregon. That’s about all the brain cells that need to be wasted on this kind of match-up. Enjoy the 100 degree heat, and stifling smoke on Saturday at Autzen!